Saturday, April 25, 2015

Post UFC 186 Update


Post UFC ON FOX 15: MACHIDA VS ROCKHOLD Update

Opening Balance 10,800

Cote 200
Rampage 100
Cote/Riggs U 2.5 rds -130

Won 3 Units
Lost 1.3 Units


Opening Balance 10,800

Cote 200
Rampage 100
Cote/Riggs U 2.5 rds -130

Closing Balance 10,970

Start Date 2/27/2014
Rate of Return 9.7%
Annualized Rate of Return (AR) [1]  62.1%
8%/57 (days since I've started tracking) * 365 (days in a year)


[1] Not meaningful since I've been tracking for under a year

UFC 186: JOHNSON VS HORIGUCHI - Apr 25 - PICKS part II

Don't want to update the prior post to avoid any accusations of record fixing, but adding 1 bet:

Quinton Jackson -200

1 Unit risked


Friday, April 24, 2015

UFC 186: JOHNSON VS HORIGUCHI - Apr 25 - PICKS

UFC 186: JOHNSON VS HORIGUCH

Picks


Pick / Odds

Cote -210
Cote/Riggs U 2.5 rds -130

Picks (Units)

Cote -2
Under -1

Picks (Dollars)

Cote 420 / 200
Under 130 / 100

Opening Balance 10.800

Saturday, April 18, 2015

Post UFC ON FOX 15: MACHIDA VS ROCKHOLD - UPDATE


Post UFC ON FOX 15: MACHIDA VS ROCKHOLD Update

Opening Balance 10,500
 
Rockhold 200
VanZant 100

Won 3 Units
Lost 0 Units

Closing Balance 10,800

Start Date 2/27/2014
Rate of Return 8%
Annualized Rate of Return (AR) [1] [2]  58.4%
8%/50 (days since I've started tracking) * 365 (days in a year)


[1] Not meaningful since I've been tracking for under a year

[2] I have scouted three events and am currently up 8%.  I skipped the three events prior to this one due to my work schedule.  If I were to assume a rate of return equal to what I have actually experienced on the three events that I skipped, my rate of return would double to 16% and my AR would also double to 116.8%.  This is, perhaps, unfair because 'what could have been' is just that.  But perhaps it is fair because I am penalizing myself due to current time constraints.  For actual tracking purposes I will state the former, but I will also track the latter because I feel that I may be understating my potential return by skipping events and letting them factor into my annualized rate.

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

UFC ON FOX 15: MACHIDA VS ROCKHOLD - Apr 18 - PICKS

UFC ON FOX 15: MACHIDA VS ROCKHOLD



Picks


Pick / Odds

Rockhold -150
VanZant -150

Picks (Units)

Rockhold -2
VanZant -1

Picks (Dollars)

Rockhold 300 / 200
VanZant 150 / 100

Opening Balance 10.500

Thursday, April 9, 2015

UFC Fight Night Sat. Apr. 11 Gonzaga vs. Cro Cop 2

More of the same...  work is crazy.  I don't have time to handicap this card.  Will really try to do the next one.  Just logging a post to avoid the perception of fixing my record.

Friday, April 3, 2015

MMA - UFC FIGHT NIGHT 63: MENDES VS LAMAS - Apr 04

Again...  No time to scout this event so I'm passing.  Just logging a post to avoid the perception of fixing my record.