My work schedule this week won't permit me time to adequately scout this event so I am abstaining from scouting/betting/picking UFC Fight Night 32.
Without doing much research at all, Koscheck seems like a good value at +370. Erick Silva seems to me to be a big hype fighter, not so different than Melvin Guillard was a few short years ago, because of his marketable style and look. Counter that with Koscheck's wrestling pedigree, which he (regrettably) so often forgets to use. If Kos wants to win this fight and is willing to use his wrestling I see this fight as very winnable for him. Jon Fitch did it, Kos may still have the tools to do it too.
Aside from my, admitted, lack of research, my major reservation with taking Kos in this fight is that with his age and my assumption of his ranking within the division (nowhere near title contention) he may just be showing up to get paid at this point. This reservation is compounded by the fact that he returns so soon after being finished.
One may point out that he showed up to fight Ellenburger, not just lay down for a paycheck, as a mitigating factor to point one. To this, I tend to mostly agree.
I'm not betting this myself, I don't recommend anyone else bet it and it will not count, good or bad, to my tracked record.
I just wanted to register a blog post here so as to avoid a future reader seeing an event absent a blog post and assume a negative result which I subsequently deleted.
Thursday, March 19, 2015
Sunday, March 15, 2015
Post UFC 185 Update
The previous post should've been titled UFC 185, not UFC 184. This was not updated because a new time stamp would call the timing (pre-event) of my picks into question.
Post UFC 185 Update
Opening Balance 10,300
Rosholt 100
Overeem 100
Won 2 Units
Lost 0 Units
Closing Balance 10,500
Start Date 2/27/2014
Rate of Return 5%
Annualized Rate of Return* 87%
5%/3 (weeks) *52 (weeks in a year)
* Not particularly meaningful since this is only the third week of tracking
Post UFC 185 Update
Opening Balance 10,300
Rosholt 100
Overeem 100
Won 2 Units
Lost 0 Units
Closing Balance 10,500
Start Date 2/27/2014
Rate of Return 5%
Annualized Rate of Return* 87%
5%/3 (weeks) *52 (weeks in a year)
* Not particularly meaningful since this is only the third week of tracking
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